Building a Forecasting & Budget Model for a Nonprofit Organisation

Sector: Not-for-Profit (Community Services)
Focus: Forecasting, Budget Modelling, Department Planning, Financial Training
Software: Xero, Excel (VBA), Legacy Reckon Data

The Challenge

After migrating from Reckon to Xero, the nonprofit lacked a forward budget and financial planning framework. No one had ownership of budgeting, and departments lacked tools to manage performance, identify trends, or plan spending confidently.

  • No visibility on departmental performance
  • No insight into seasonal trends in revenue and expenses
  • No structure to inform decisions or empower managers
  • Lack of confidence and clarity in financial sustainability

What I Did

  • Recovered & Rebuilt Data: Validated 12 months of P&L history from Xero and legacy Reckon files, resolving data gaps and surfacing key income/expense drivers.
  • Created a Rolling Forecast Model: Designed a regression-based Excel tool using VBA to project trends by revenue/expense type and update monthly with new actuals.
  • Developed Departmental Budgets: Aligned forecasts with project pipelines and past cost trends to enable department-specific budget plans and accountability.
  • Delivered Financial Education: Ran interactive workshops to teach managers how to read P&Ls, interpret variance, and use data in their day-to-day planning.

The Result

  • 💡 Budgeting became embedded in day-to-day planning and culture
  • 📈 Leadership gained monthly visibility over financial health
  • 🔁 Forecast model updates dynamically with live P&L data
  • 🎓 Managers now own their budgets and apply financial insights operationally

Why It Mattered

In not-for-profits, financial clarity drives impact. By creating a rolling forecast tool, improving literacy, and embedding financial responsibility into daily workflows, I helped the organisation make every dollar go further — and plan with confidence.

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